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  • Power generation coal consumption consumes a small increase in market coal prices and stops falling stabilization

2024 European Cup football live scores

2024-07-09 09:45:09 China Electric Power Enterprise Federation

CECI Index Analysis Weekly released by the CECI Purchasing Price Index (CECI) (CECI) (CECI Index Analysis Weekly "(2024, No. 24) display,This issue (2024.06.27-2024.07.05) CECI CECI Ce Feidian index fell slightly and stabilized after the beginning of the period。Coastal Index mid -high card spot price center movement,interval expansion。Import Index to the shore marked coal unit price rose slightly。CECI purchasing manager index drops from the expansion range to the contraction range,In the sub -item index,Supply and inventory index is in the expansion range,Requirements、Price and Shipping Index is in the contraction range,Inventory and price score index rose from the previous month,Supply、Demand and shipping index decreased from the previous month。

1. Summary of market conditions

This issue,Coal -fired power plants have increased slightly month -on -month,The consumption of electricity increased from the previous month、decrease year -on -year,The number of days of coal depository in power plants can be increased year -on -year。According to the CNC fuel data statistics,This issue is incorporated into the power industry's fuel statistics.,decreased by 17.6%year -on -year。The consumption of electricity increased by 1.5%month -on -month,A year -on -year decrease of 8.9%。Electric coal inventory 2024 European Cup Official Website Betting Predictionscan be available for 27.1 days,3.3 days from the same period last year。Where,The average daily power generation of the sea transportation power plant decreased by 2.1%month -on -month,decreased by 16.6%year -on -year; the average daily import of coal increased by 1.7%month -on -month,decreased by 10.6%year -on -year。

Coal main production area Changxie coal transportation stable,Metallurgy、Chemical enterprises are purchased on demand,Affected by the inverted price of the port of the port,Tradeers still continue,Most coal mine production and sales balance,Puding coal prices continue to continue weak operation。Port market,At present, coal depository of power plants is at a high level of history,Still continued to rise,Power plant procurement is slightly increased, but still mainly needs to be purchased。Some traders are affected by spontaneous combustion risk and capital pressure,Increase the willingness to ship,and part of the expected rainy season in the south is about to end,The daily consumption of coastal power plants will increase significantly,Market differences gradually revealed。Market transaction is relatively deadlocked,The spot price of ports in the second half of this week has stabilized and runs。

Take a comprehensive,The overall supply and demand of the main origin is relatively smooth,Affected by the inverted price of the port of the port,Traders remain on the attitude of watching; power plant consumption rises slightly a day,and the market has expected high consumption for high consumption,Most traders quoted to stop falling and stabilized。

2. CECI index analysis

CECI coastal index 5500 kcal/kg、5000 kcal/kg of spot transaction price fell 12 yuan/ton compared to the previous period、17 yuan/ton。Look from the sample situation,5500 kcal/kg and 5000 kg/kg Specifications The center of the price center continues to move down slightly。Look at the heat value 2024 European Cup Official Website Betting Predictionsdistribution of the sample,4500 kcal/kg、5000 kcal/kg、5500 kcal/kg of samples accounted for 44.0%、46.6%、9.5%。

CECI CECI Dian Index July 4th 5500 kcal/kg、5000 kcal/kg and 4500 kcal/kg average price is 848.2 yuan/ton, respectively、746.4 yuan/ton and 645.6 yuan/ton,The average price of each specification product this week decreased by 15.8 yuan/ton than the average price last week, respectively、17.1 yuan/ton and 18.9 yuan/ton。Stop stabilizing the spot price of electric coal,The total number of samples of each hot value spot transaction is flat with last week,The number of medium high thermal value samples is slightly reduced,Low card sample quantity increased slightly。

CECI import index to the shore bid coal unit price of 1040 yuan/ton,increased by 6 yuan/ton compared to the previous period,rose 0.6%month -on -month。Where,5500 kcal/kg、4600 kcal/kg price increased by 13 yuan/ton and 14 yuan/ton。The purchase time of the sample to the port of Hong Kong is mainly concentrated in early June,The bid price of medium and high -card coal rises slightly。

CECI purchasing manager index is 49.50%,After the expansion range in the third consecutive period, it drops to the contraction range,decreased by 0.79 percentage points from the previous month。In the sub -item index,Supply and inventory index is in the expansion range,Requirements、Price and Shipping Index is in the contraction range,Inventory and price score index rose from the previous month,Supply、Demand and shipping index decreased from the previous month。Where,The supply score index is 52.79%,decreased by 0.47 percentage points from the previous month,17 consecutive periods in the expansion range,It shows that the supply of electric coal continues to increase,The increase is narrowed。Requirement Index is 49.68%,decreased by 1.38 percentage points from the previous month,After the expansion range in the five consecutive periods, it dropped to the contraction range,It indicates that the demand for electricity coal has been increased 2024 European Cup football live scoresfrom increase to fall。Inventory index is 51.13%,increased by 0.83 percentage points from the previous month,Phase 2 consecutive period is in the expansion range,It indicates that the inventory of electric coal continues to increase,The increase is expanded。The price score index is 43.87%,increased by 0.27 percentage points from the previous month,Phase 6 consecutive periods in the contraction range,It indicates that the price of electric coal continues to decline,The decline is narrowed。Shipping Index is 47.01%,decreased by 0.68 percentage points from the previous month,Phase 6 consecutive periods in the contraction range,It shows that the price of electric coal shipping continues to decline,The decline has expanded。

3, related information and suggestions

Summary data of the Office of the Leading Group of the State Council's Logistics Insurance Shopping Protection and Shopping Substitute,June 24th-June 30th,The orderly operation of freight logistics nationwide,Where,National railway cumulative transportation cargo 78.415 million tons,increased by 1.01%month -on -month; a total of 52.999 million vehicles across the country's highways,decreased by 0.7%month -on -month。

According to the fuel statistics of the China Electricity Union's power industry,As of July 4,Power -fired power plant incorporated into the power industry fuel statistics of the power industry has decreased by 16.7%year -on -year,Cumulative power generation this year has decreased by 0.3%year -on -year。Coal inventory of coal -fired power plants is higher than 2.28 million tons of the same period last year,Inventory available days increased by 3.3 days from the same period last year。

Recent,The National Energy Administration issued the "Notice of the Comprehensive Department of the National Energy Administration on further strengthening the management and control of power safety risk during peak summer" (National Energy Comprehensive Security [2024] No. 94),Requires power enterprises to strictly implement security responsibilities、Comprehensive check risk hidden dangers、Strengthen system operation control、2024 European Cup Football Result BettingStrengthening equipment operation and maintenance management、Improve emergency response ability,Further strengthen the control of power safety risk management and control during peak summer during the summer,Ensure the safe and stable supply of electricity。

According to the estimation of the meteorological department,In the early July of the Yangtze River in the middle of July, heavy rainfall continued,Around the 10th in the middle and lower reaches of the Yangtze River will appear again in the middle and lower reaches of the Yangtze River,Gradually from the middle and lower reaches of the Yangtze River around mid -July。Affected by rainfall weather,Step into July market emotion is still weak,The main production area of ​​coal production is weak and stable,At the beginning of the week, it still takes decline,Sales near the weekend is better than the previous period,Price stop falling。The port market continues weakness,Hydropower、New energy and other contributions to replace good replacement,High inventory of each link is yet to be removed,Power plant procurement price is returned,Market transaction stalemate。Although traders have emotions for sale,But the demand is significantly unlikely to be released,It is expected that the spot market for power coal may run short -term or narrow shock。Suggestion: First, heavy rainfall has been encountered in many places in the country recently,Drought and flooding rotation may occur in some areas,Power generation enterprises need to pay attention to flood control safety of coal storage sites,Make sure safety flood。Second, with the gradual increase of the coal consumption and the amount of the plant in power plants,It is recommended that power generation companies speed up adjustment of the coal depository structure of power plants,Increase high -quality coal deposit with coal 2024 European Cup Official Website Betting Predictionsyard,Guarantee smoothness over the peak summer。




Editor in charge: Zhang Lei

Tags: Market coal price